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Post by heresjim on Oct 21, 2018 21:44:44 GMT -5
Playoff Chances for SBC Teams (Lake and Bay) going into week 10 per Drew Pasteur
All teams that I don't list are eliminated
Clyde- Clinched
Oak Harbour- Clinched
Norwalk-Clinched
Tiffin-Clinched
Sandusky- 95% with a W/ 65% with a L
Huron- 99% with a W/ 71% with a L
Bellevue- 13% with a W/ Eliminated with a L
Port Clinton- 99% with a W/ Eliminated with a L
If you want the percentage that a team gets a home playoff game, just ask.
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Post by BellevueBuckeye on Oct 22, 2018 8:25:35 GMT -5
and in the River Division:
Gibsonburg - Clinched home game
Calvert - Clinched playoff spot
Margaretta - <2%
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 23, 2018 7:59:51 GMT -5
Norwalk-Tiffin winner clinch home game. Either/or could lose, and still may get a home game, especially Truckers. However, I don't want Norwalk to enter postseason on a 2 game losing streak
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Post by dolittle on Oct 23, 2018 8:06:34 GMT -5
Norwalk and Tiffin are both going to be home.
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 23, 2018 8:26:19 GMT -5
Likely correct. If Tiffin loses, only 4 percent chance being 5th seed. Pasteur has all Norwalk percentages in top 4 seeds
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Post by BellevueBuckeye on Oct 23, 2018 8:42:22 GMT -5
There are 3 teams from outside the top 4 that are still mathematically alive to pass the loser of Norwalk/Columbian: Rocky River, Bowling Green, Padua Franciscan.
All 3 have games against 6-3 or better teams in week 10, and would also need 2nd level help to jump Norwalk or Columbian.
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Post by dolittle on Oct 23, 2018 9:06:55 GMT -5
There are 3 teams from outside the top 4 that are still mathematically alive to pass the loser of Norwalk/Columbian: Rocky River, Bowling Green, Padua Franciscan. All 3 have games against 6-3 or better teams in week 10, and would also need 2nd level help to jump Norwalk or Columbian. Correct. However, the second level games are very tough games or league games. |
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Post by smitty1974 on Oct 23, 2018 20:52:06 GMT -5
padua vs lake catholic scheduled for saturday night has been changed to a thursday night game
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 23, 2018 21:21:54 GMT -5
Padua is in with a grin should it win. A loss puts them at 45 percent chance to reach postseason
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Post by dude on Oct 23, 2018 22:03:15 GMT -5
I think Padua ends up in the 9 hole.
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Post by BellevueBuckeye on Oct 27, 2018 9:49:52 GMT -5
Oak Harbor has clinched a home game and will be either the 3rd or 4th seed in D5R18
Elyria Catholic can still pass them for #4, as 2 of their 2nd level teams have games today (Villa Angela St Joseph and Cleveland CC)
also, (7-2) Anna has a game today against (2-7) Delphos St John's and can pass Pleasant for #5 with a win.
these matchups are all still possible for Oak Harbor:
(3) Oak Harbor vs (6) Anna
(4) Oak Harbor vs (5) Anna
(4) Oak Harbor vs (5) Pleasant
(3) Oak Harbor vs (6) Pleasant
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Post by hhsfan90 on Oct 27, 2018 10:24:25 GMT -5
An Anna matchup would be very interesting being they are from the MAC
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Post by colinc on Oct 27, 2018 10:30:26 GMT -5
An Anna matchup would be very interesting being they are from the MAC Is anna good? |
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Post by hhsfan90 on Oct 27, 2018 10:40:05 GMT -5
They are 7_2, play in the MAC, I would say they are most likely pretty good. Oak Harbor has a great team though so I like their chances.
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Post by BellevueBuckeye on Oct 27, 2018 10:55:16 GMT -5
If Anna wins today they will share the MAC title with Marion Local
Their game today at DSJ is at 1pm
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Post by hhsfan90 on Oct 27, 2018 10:59:42 GMT -5
And teams that win the MAC usually win a state championship. They have had 3 state champions before (div5, 6 and 7) the same year.
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 27, 2018 11:01:45 GMT -5
An Anna matchup would be very interesting being they are from the MAC Is anna good? When you're 8-2 playing in the MAC, you're about 3 scores better than similar-sized schools in this area |
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Post by kritz on Oct 27, 2018 12:43:49 GMT -5
They beat Coldwater which is impressive.
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Post by BellevueBuckeye on Oct 27, 2018 13:12:53 GMT -5
Anna leads DSJ 33-7 at the half
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Post by sportsvideo on Oct 27, 2018 13:27:06 GMT -5
An Anna matchup would be very interesting being they are from the MAC it would be a 2 hour drive to oak harbor,,,,running clock .... 2 hour drive back... |
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Post by BellevueBuckeye on Oct 27, 2018 13:33:16 GMT -5
Villa Angela St Joseph is trailing Warren JFK 34-8 in the 3rd. I don't know if Elyria Catholic needed both VASJ and Cleveland CC to win today to pas Oak Harbor, or just one of them.
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Post by BellevueBuckeye on Oct 27, 2018 14:41:34 GMT -5
Anna 39 DSJ 14 final. Anna will be the 5 seed, and has just won a share of their first MAC title in football (they joined the league in 2005)
VASJ lost...waiting on the update to see if that will lock EC in at #4, or whether they can still pass OH if Cleveland CC wins.
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Post by BellevueBuckeye on Oct 27, 2018 15:02:02 GMT -5
EC now locked in at #4
it will be (3) Oak Harbor vs (6) Pleasant
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Post by Ramsfan09 on Oct 27, 2018 15:17:06 GMT -5
I think it’s crazy that half of the div3 reg10 is SBC schools and someone the first round not one matchup between any of them
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 27, 2018 16:09:19 GMT -5
With as many of the SBC schools in the playoffs, Maybe the SBC is becoming a tough league, Like that MAC league is.
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Post by kritz on Oct 27, 2018 16:40:14 GMT -5
With as many of the SBC schools in the playoffs, Maybe the SBC is becoming a tough league, Like that MAC league is. They've been beating up on each other all season! Hoping for an SBC sweep here! |
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