1st Committee Poll

[1percenter]

The 1st Committee Poll of 2018 comes out Tuesday. What we've learned so far in the history of this poll is that teams that make their Final Four are 0 or 1 loss teams from Power 5 schools. We've also learned that they throw some "surprise" teams in their top 25 between 20-25 that are head scratches, but then when you look at the top of their rankings those teams were thrown in to make a top team that they like "resume" look better. The committee also says they like road wins.

So with that in mind here's the resume's of all Power 5 teams with 0 or 1 loss.

Alabama (8-0)

W 62-7 (5-3) Ole Miss - Road Win

W 45-23 (5-3) Texas A&M

W 39-10 (4-4) Missouri

W 57-7 (4-4) Arkansas State

W 56-14 (4-4) Louisiana-Lafayette

W 58-21 (3-5) Tennessee - Road Win

W 51-14 (2-6) Louisville - Neutral Win

W 65-31 (2-7) Arkansas - Road Win

LSU (7-1)

W 36-16 (7-1) Georgia

L 19-27 (6-2) Florida

W 38-21 (6-2) Louisiana Tech

W 33-17 (5-3) Miami, FL - Neutral Win

W 22-21 (5-3) Auburn - Road Win

W 19-3 (5-3) Mississippi State

W 45-16 (5-3) Ole Miss

W 31-0 (3-6) SE Louisiana

Georgia (7-1)

L 16-36 (7-1) LSU

W 36-17 (6-2) Florida - Neutral Win

W 49-7 (5-3) Middle Tennessee State

W 41-17 (4-3) South Carolina - Road Win

W 43-29 (4-4) Missouri - Road Win

W 45-0 (4-4) Austin Peay

W 41-13 (4-5) Vanderbilt

W 38-12 (3-5) Tennessee

Kentucky (7-1)

W 27-16 (6-2) Florida - Road Win

L 14-20 (5-3) Texas A&M

W 28-7 (5-3) Mississippi State

W 24-10 (4-3) South Carolina

W 15-14 (4-4) Missouri - Road Win

W 48-10 (4-4) Murray State

W 14-7 (4-5) Vanderbilt

W 35-20 (1-8) Central Michigan

Notre Dame (8-0)

W 24-17 (7-1) Michigan

W 38-17 (5-3) Stanford

W 34-23 (4-3) Virginia Tech - Road Win

W 56-27 (4-4) Wake Forest - Road Win

W 19-14 (4-4) Pittsburgh

W 22-17 (4-5) Vanderbilt

W 24-16 (3-6) Ball State

W 44-22 (2-6) Navy - Neutral Win

Washington State (7-1)

W 28-24 (6-2) Utah

W 59-24 (6-2) Eastern Washington

W 41-38 (5-3) Stanford - Road Win

W 34-20 (5-3) Oregon

L 36-39 (4-4) USC

W 41-19 (3-6) Wyoming - Road Win

W 56-37 (2-6) Oregon State - Road Win

W 31-0 (1-7) San Jose State

Clemson (8-0)

W 38-7 (7-1) Georgia Southern

W 27-23 (6-2) Syracuse

W 41-7 (5-2) NC State

W 28-26 (5-3) Texas A&M - Road Win

W 63-3 (4-4) Wake Forest

W 59-10 (4-4) Florida State - Road Win

W 49-21 (4-4) Georgia Tech - Road Win

W 48-7 (3-4) Furman

Oklahoma (7-1)

L 45-48 (6-2) Texas

W 28-21 (6-2) Army

W 37-27 (4-3) Iowa State - Road Win

W 66-33 (4-4) Baylor

W 52-27 (3-5) TCU - Road Win

W 51-14 (3-5) Kansas State

W 63-14 (3-5) Florida Atlantic

W 49-21 (2-6) UCLA

West Virginia (6-1)

W 42-34 (5-3) Texas Tech - Road Win

L 14-30 (4-3) Iowa State

W 58-14 (4-4) Baylor

W 40-14 (3-5) Tennessee - Neutral Win

W 35-6 (3-5) Kansas State

W 38-22 (3-5) Kansas

W 52-17 (3-5) Youngstown State

Michigan (7-1)

L 17-24 (8-0) Notre Dame

W 49-3 (6-3) Western Michigan

W 21-7 (5-3) Michigan State - Road Win

W 20-17 (5-3) Northwestern - Road Win

W 42-21 (5-3) Maryland

W 38-13 (5-3) Wisconsin

W 45-20 (3-5) SMU

W 56-10 (2-6) Nebraska

Ohio State (7-1)

W 27-26 (6-2) Penn State - Road Win

L 20-49 (4-4) Purdue

W 30-14 (4-4) Minnesota

W 49-26 (4-5) Indiana

W 40-28 (3-5) TCU - Neutral Win

W 49-6 (3-5) Tulane

W 77-21 (2-6) Oregon State

W 52-3 (1-7) Rutgers

[1percenter]

ESPN FPI Top 10
1 30.4 (8-0) Alabama
2 29.5 (8-0) Clemson
3 25.5 (7-1) Georgia
4 23.1 (7-1) Oklahoma
----
5 22.8 (7-1) Michigan
6 21.5 (7-1) Ohio State
7 20.4 (6-2) Penn State
8 17.5 (8-0) Notre Dame
9 17.2 (6-3) Washington
10 17.0 (7-1) LSU
.
13 15.4 (6-1) West Virginia
22 12.5 (7-1) Washington State
28 10.8 (7-1) Kentucky


Sagarin Top 10
1 102.50 (8-0) Alabama
2 99.06 (8-0) Clemson
3 92.96 (7-1) Oklahoma
4 91.97 (7-1) Michigan
----
5 91.58 (7-1) Georgia
6 90.37 (7-1) Ohio State
7 88.39 (6-2) Penn State
8 88.39 (7-1) LSU
9 87.06 (6-2) Iowa
10 86.29 (6-2) Utah
.
12 84.93 (8-0) Notre Dame
14 84.66 (6-1) West Virginia
19 81.87 (7-1) Washington State
23 81.36 (7-1) Kentucky



What I expect to see Tuesday Night
1 Alabama
2 Clemson
3 Notre Dame
4 LSU
.
5 Michigan
6 Georgia
7 Oklahoma
8 Ohio State
9 Washington State *
10 West Virginia

* I see the Committee completely overrating Wash St since the Pac 12 is beating each other up and they don't want to look biased against the Pac 12 so they will be biased and overrate the only 1 loss team left in the Pac 12.

All 11 of the 0 or 1 loss teams control their own destiny. If you are 1 of those 11 teams all you have to do is win out and you are in the playoff.

Lots of great games this Saturday with some highly ranked teams on the road vs quality opponents. Could be a huge shake up from the Committee's first poll to their 2nd one.
Alabama (8-0) at LSU (7-1)
Notre Dame (8-0) at Northwestern (5-3)
Georgia (7-1) at Kentucky (7-1)
Michigan (7-1) at Penn State (6-2)
Oklahoma (7-1) at Texas Tech (5-3)
West Virginia (6-1) at Texas (6-2)

[gibby23]

One correction for next Saturdays schedule: Penn State is at Michigan.

[jmorgret07]

Oct 28, 2018 11:45:51 GMT -5 1percenter said:

All 11 of the 0 or 1 loss teams control their own destiny. If you are 1 of those 11 teams all you have to do is win out and you are in the playoff.

Not exactly correct. What happens when Alabama, Clemson, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Ohio State, and Washington State all win out?

[dirkadirka]

Saw a note today that there are 2 3-loss teams in the top 25, both from the SEC (A&M and Miss St.). Gross.

[Willard Fillmore]

Oct 28, 2018 20:49:51 GMT -5 jmorgret07 said:

Oct 28, 2018 11:45:51 GMT -5 1percenter said:

All 11 of the 0 or 1 loss teams control their own destiny. If you are 1 of those 11 teams all you have to do is win out and you are in the playoff.

Not exactly correct. What happens when Alabama, Clemson, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Ohio State, and Washington State all win out?

You could put LSU and Georgia on the list of controlling their own destiny. Of the 6 on the not exactly correct list, Ohio State is the most likely to lose at least another game.

[1percenter]

Nah, I'm correct, we have the whole month of November to go. All 11 of those teams control their own destiny. If they win out they are in. Just like saying in August before the season starts that all Power 5 teams control their own destiny. There is not going to be 5 (12-0/13-0) Power 5 teams at the end of the year, ever. Not going to happen. History tells us all 11 of these teams control their own destiny. It's only Oct. 30th, so many more losses to come. I'd bet at least 4 of those 11 lose this weekend dropping us down to 7.

[Rambo McClain]

I don't know about the rest of you but I think this Committee thing is a big ole joke. It's been a joke sense day one and each week that they put out rankings they prove once again how big of a joke they are.

Exhibit A: Central Florida - last years National Champs
LAST year every major computer poll listed UCF in the Top 10 all year. The Committee opened them at #18. The Committee was blind to how great UCF was
THIS year every major computer poll lists UCF around 30th. The Committee decides to open them at #12. HUH?
Oh that's right UCF now has a brand so you decide to over rate them this year. Last year they didn't have the brand so you completely under rate them.


Exhibit B: Syracuse
Major computer polls have them down in the 40's
Committee sticks them in at #19
HUH?

Exhibit C: Washington
Major Computer polls have them around #10
Committee leaves them completely out of their Top 25
HUH?

etc, etc


Remember 2014 when the Committee opened the Top 4 with Ole Miss, Mississippi State in it. LOL. This Committee doesn't know anything, it's time to get rid of this joke.

[Willard Fillmore]

LOL....at FAKE STAT Dumbo

[cbus]

Oct 30, 2018 9:31:09 GMT -5 1percenter said:

Nah, I'm correct, we have the whole month of November to go. All 11 of those teams control their own destiny. If they win out they are in. Just like saying in August before the season starts that all Power 5 teams control their own destiny. There is not going to be 5 (12-0/13-0) Power 5 teams at the end of the year, ever. Not going to happen. History tells us all 11 of these teams control their own destiny. It's only Oct. 30th, so many more losses to come. I'd bet at least 4 of those 11 lose this weekend dropping us down to 7.

This is borderline incoherent.