D4 Region 14

[marchmadness]

Good luck here.  No predictions other than wow.  What a deep, strong region.  Lots of good teams will be on the outside looking in.  
19 teams sitting at 2-1 or better...the only ones I think don't have a chance are Fostoria, Rossford, Ontario, and Perkins. 
Trying to narrow it down more...I think you may have to go 8-2 to get in.  
Lutheran West isn't good but their schedule is so bad they could run the table.  Edison will have losses to Norwalk, OH and probably Huron, so they are looking at 7-3 AT best.    
Van Wert-OG game could be an elimination game.  
Either way I think you better count on winning 8 games to assure yourself a week 11 because there will be a ton of teams sitting at 8-2 and 7-3.  

[maplecityjake]

Good post. I just want to see as many Edison, Huron, and Ontario wins as possible, of course, not at Truckers expense.

[Green Falcon]

If O-G and Van Wert each end with at least 8 or 7 wins they'll be in. It'll come to down to who played and beat the bigger division schools for this region.

[litebrite]

I wouldn't count out Rossford at 8-2. They'll have to beat Otsego or Eastwood. But 8-2 would get them in w/ a possibly matchup with Clyde.

[BellevueBuckeye]

Since we're now halfway through the season and at the start of Lake & Bay conference play, here's a look at where things currently stand in Region 14 and what Pasteur is currently projecting.

Current Computer Point Standings:

1 5-0 620 Galion Galion 9.9500 24.5 50.5 100 2015
2 4-1 1162 Canal Fulton Northwest 8.4000 20.5 43.0 100 2011
3 4-1 808 La Grange Keystone 8.1500 18.0 45.5 100 2014
4 4-1 1634 Wauseon Wauseon 8.1000 18.0 45.0 100 2017
5 4-1 1214 Ottawa Ottawa-Glandorf 7.3500 20.5 32.5 100 2016
6 4-1 190 Bellevue Bellevue 7.1500 22.5 26.5 100 2017
7 4-1 1416 Shelby Shelby 6.7000 20.5 26.0 100 2017
8 4-1 746 Huron Huron 6.6500 21.0 24.5 100 2018
----------------------------------------------------------------------
9 3-2 378 Bellville Clear Fork 6.1500 14.5 32.5 100 2018
10 4-1 914 Rocky River Lutheran West 6.1000 16.5 28.0 100 2005
11 4-1 392 Clyde Clyde 6.0000 22.5 15.0 100 2018
12 3-2 518 Milan Edison 5.3500 14.5 24.5 100 2017
13t 3-2 1240 Sandusky Perkins 5.2500 16.0 20.5 100 2015
13t 3-2 1332 Rossford Rossford 5.2500 14.0 24.5 100 2015
15t 2-3 1266 Port Clinton Port Clinton 4.6000 11.0 24.0 100 2016
15t 3-2 1548 Wooster Triway 4.6000 12.5 21.0 100 2014
17 4-1 380 Lorain Clearview 4.3500 19.5 4.5 100 2018
18 3-2 606 Fostoria Fostoria 3.6500 13.5 9.5 100 2008
19 2-3 1206 Ontario Ontario 3.5500 9.0 17.5 100 2010
20 2-3 1080 Napoleon Napoleon 3.3500 11.5 10.5 100 2013
21 2-3 1596 Van Wert Van Wert 3.2000 10.5 11.0 100 2018
22t 2-3 262 Sheffield Brookside 2.2500 9.0 4.5 100 None
22t 2-3 1574 Upper Sandusky Upper Sandusky 2.2500 7.5 7.5 100 2012
24 2-3 590 Oberlin Firelands 1.8000 9.0 0.0 100 2015
25 1-4 272 Bryan Bryan 1.1000 5.5 0.0 100 2018
26t 0-5 1398 Toledo Scott 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100 1972
26t 0-5 1598 Vermilion Vermilion 0.0000

Drew Pasteur's current projection:

1. La Grange Keystone (9-1) 22.00
2. Galion (9-1) 21.98
3. Clyde (7-3) 19.80
4. Wauseon (8-2) 19.15
5. Shelby (7-3) 18.45
6. Ottawa-Glandorf (7-3) 17.70
7. Canal Fulton Northwest (8-2) 17.65
8. Bellevue (6-4) 16.45
---------------------------------------------
9. Bellville Clear Fork (6-4) 16.05
10. Huron (8-2) 15.50
11. Rocky River Lutheran West (7-3) 14.31
12. Lorain Clearview (8-2) 14.15
13. Milan Edison (6-4) 12.00
14. Port Clinton (5-5) 11.02
15. Fostoria (6-4) 9.70
16. Wooster Triway (5-5) 9.55
17. Rossford (5-5) 9.15
18. Van Wert (5-5) 8.55
19. Ontario (3-7) 7.90
20. Napoleon (4-6) 7.20
21. Bryan (4-6) 5.90
22. Oberlin Firelands (4-6) 5.40
23. Sandusky Perkins (3-7) 5.15
24. Upper Sandusky (3-7) 3.90
25. Sheffield Brookside (3-7) 3.70
26. Toledo Scott (1-9) 1.60
27. Vermilion (1-9) 0.45

[maplecityjake]

If his projections come into fruition, Clear Fork ought to be salty.

[kritz]

Really anyone of those teams in the top 8 could win the region. No catholic powers to worry about. I'd hate for Huron to miss out at 8-2.

[maplecityjake]

Oct 2, 2019 13:16:15 GMT -5 kritz said:

I'd hate for Huron to miss out at 8-2

We agree.


Sincerely,

East Tech

[Green Falcon]

Clearview will probably go 9-1 and miss

[smitty1974]

lorain clearview is in a weak lorain county 8 league along with keystone,firelands,brookside,columbia,brookside,black river and wellington, keystone is clearviews only threat and will give clearview points after clearview beats them.dont know who clearview plays this week. huron plays willard this week and will drop despite beating willard,now c learfork will climb if they beat galion,wauseon should beat swanton and will hold their place or drop a little in region 14, ottawa glandork has celina not too many points here,bellvue if they beat norwalk will take a huge jump from 6th.shelbygoes to marion harding not many points here. northwest(canal fulton)plays cvca(4-1) keystone plays black river(3-2) and lutheran west plays burton berkshire(4-1),so thats it for the top ten in region 14. clearview host wellington.

[Green Falcon]

Oct 2, 2019 17:38:57 GMT -5 smitty1974 said:

lorain clearview is in a weak lorain county 8 league along with keystone,firelands,brookside,columbia,brookside,black river and wellington, keystone is clearviews only threat and will give clearview points after clearview beats them.dont know who clearview plays this week. huron plays willard this week and will drop despite beating willard,now c learfork will climb if they beat galion,wauseon should beat swanton and will hold their place or drop a little in region 14, ottawa glandork has celina not too many points here,bellvue if they beat norwalk will take a huge jump from 6th.shelbygoes to marion harding not many points here. northwest(canal fulton)plays cvca(4-1) keystone plays black river(3-2) and lutheran west plays burton berkshire(4-1),so thats it for the top ten in region 14. clearview host wellington.

Clearview lost to Keystone by 6

[smitty1974]

clearview is done they have played 3 winless teams right off the bat and plays 0-5 columbia week 8 they have 2 teams with 3-2 records left. keystone wont move any higher they have 2 teams left with 3-2 records,black river and wellington same as clearview.wauseon has patrick henry and archbold and evergreen left but evergreen opponents are terrible. next 5th is ottawa glandorf they have left includes lima shawnee,kenton and wapakoneta.good points here.next will be bellevue and the redmen has the toughest schedule left playing a stacked lake division and if they make a run then they should get a home field for playoffs.next is shelby they have marion harding galion, lima cc river valley and clear fork left. 8th place huron has willard(0-5) then oak harbor(5-0) vermilion losing record,port clinton(2-3) and edison (3-2).huron has to beat oak harbor and will need a lot of help to make.it. next is clear fork they have galion,ontario,pleasant,marion harding and shelby. #10 lutheran west(4-1) has left are berkshire(4-1)independence(3-2)brooklyn(2-3)cuyahoga hts(3-1)and trinity(3-2).finally clyde has left perkins and then the gaunlet begins columbian(5-0)sandusky(4-1)norwalk(4-1)and bellvue(4-1).its going to be fun to see where region 14 finishes up.

[BellevueBuckeye]

will be interesting to see what this region looks like once all the week 9 scores are in

[marchmadness]

Looks like if Clyde beats Bellevue next week the SBC Lake will get 5 of the 6 teams in the playoffs.

[utsherman]

Eitel currently has Bellevue and Shelby sitting at 6 & 7, respectively. Looks like all the scores are in. Clear Fork just above both at 5. LaGrange Keystone appears to have officially clinched, sitting in the 1 spot. Galion follows closely at 2. Edison & Clyde sitting at 11 & 12.

[BellevueBuckeye]

Still waiting on Start's win over Rogers to be included, which will give both Bellevue and Clyde a few more 2nd level points

[utsherman]

Right. Looks like Bellevue has now hopped over Clear Fork.

[Deleted]

Pasteur projects Clyde to finish 7th with a win over Bellevue next week

[419bossman]

Well according to Pasteur here what Region 14 should look like if the results go what they are predicted.

1. Wauseon 9-1 plays Archbold
2. Galion 9-1 plays Marion Pleasant
3. Keystone 9-1 plays Oberlin
4. Clear Fork 7-3 plays Shelby
5. Ottawa-Glandorf 7-3 plays Wapakoneta
6. Bellevue 6-4 plays Clyde
7. Clyde 6-4 plays Bellevue
8. Shelby 6-4 plays Clear Fork
Should be alot of scoreboard watching throughout the night to see who is going where. If Bellevue, OG win they might get a home game. If Rossford and Triway win they will get in and possibly get a high seed because who they beat. Should be real interesting come 9-9:30 Friday night

Others in the hunt
Huron plays Edison
Northwest plays Loudonville
Luthern West plays Trintiy
Rossford plays Eastwood
Triway plays Orrville

[smitty1974]

bellvue by winning can help edison get in and the chargers beat huron,rossford lose to eastwood(rossford big underdog) northwest plays loudonville(1-8)not many points there,and triway should lose at orrville. lutheran west(6-3)has trinity(4-5)

[GHS 1999]

The Bellevue/ Clyde and Clear Fork / Shelby games stand out to me. Depending on what happens around them, these two could really shape the region. Wauseon, Galion, and Keystone just need to win at this point to get home games.

[BellevueBuckeye]

just as a side note, Cleveland East Tech @ University School is a Saturday game, so we won't know Bellevue's final average tonight.

(US is a heavy favorite though, so we'll have a pretty solid idea)

[smitty1974]

bad news for clyde and Bellevue,toledo start was upset by woodward 28-14,but woodward vcould help Edison.

[cbus]

Also bad news for Bellevue as I think Lexington beat River Valley which helps Clear Fork.

[maplecityjake]

Clear Fork was going to pass Bellevue after Harding-Ontario score was reported. It looks like Edison will overtake the Redmen for final spot.

[cbus]

Nov 1, 2019 21:33:34 GMT -5 maplecityjake said:

Clear Fork was going to pass Bellevue after Harding-Ontario score was reported. It looks like Edison will overtake the Redmen for final spot.

That's not how I have it computed. I have Clear fork with 16.33 and Bellevue with 16.067 before the University v East Tech game tomorrow. If University wins then Bellevue gets another .55 points to pass Clear Fork for 8th place. Of course this is more unofficial than the Eitel website. On the plus side-Rossford lost.

[maplecityjake]

I forgot about US,; thanks for the update.

[Ramsfan09]

Whoever gets in for the 8th seed just got the easiest 1 seed in the state of ohio. Bellevue or Clearfork should beat Keystone easy.

[cbus]

I also see that Drew Pasteur has University favored over East Tech by 37 points. FWIW

[BellevueBuckeye]

Still waiting to see how far PC's loss will drop Bellevues max win avg. That will determine whether the US game tomorrow will matter.