2021 CFB Bowl Pick'em Contest

[Vogel]

Past winners
2020 - There was no contest
2019 - Buckeye2b
2018 - Admin

2017 - dude

Rules
Picks are due in by Friday, December 17, 2021 at 12:00 EST
Most correct picks is the winner
If there is a tie, then the 1st tiebreaker will be picking the National Champ correctly
If the 1st tiebreaker is a tie, then the 2nd tiebreaker will be who is closest to picking the total points scored in the NC game
If the 2nd tiebreaker is a tie, then the 3rd tiebreaker goes to the person who made their picks 1st (time stamp)

2021 Bowl Games
Middle Tennessee vs Toledo 
Northern Illinois vs Coastal Carolina
Western Kentucky vs Appalachian State
UTEP vs Fresno State
UAB vs BYU
Eastern Michigan vs Liberty
Utah State vs Oregon State
Louisiana (Rajun Cajuns) vs Marshall
Old Dominion vs Tulsa
Kent State vs Wyoming
UT San Antonio vs San Diego State
Missouri vs Army
North Texas vs Miami (OH)
UCF vs Florida
Memphis vs Hawaii
Georgia State vs Ball State
Western Michigan vs Nevada
Boston College vs East Carolina
Houston vs Auburn
Air Force vs Louisville
Mississippi State vs Texas Tech
UCLA vs NC State
West Virginia vs Minnesota
SMU vs Virginia
Maryland vs Virginia Tech
Clemson vs Iowa State
Oregon vs Oklahoma
North Carolina vs South Carolina
Tennessee vs Purdue
Pittsburg vs Michigan State
Wisconsin vs Arizona State
Wake Forest vs Texas A&M
Washington State vs Miami (FL)
Central Michigan vs Boise State
Cincinnati vs Alabama
Georgia vs Michigan
Penn State vs Arkansas
Oklahoma State vs Notre Dame
Iowa vs Kentucky
Utah vs Ohio State
Baylor vs Ole Miss
LSU vs Kansas State

Tie Breaker: National Championship Winner (Cincinnati, Alabama, Georgia or Michigan)
Tie Breaker: Total Points Scored in National Championship

[browns624]

Toledo
Coastal Carolina
Western Kentucky
Fresno State
BYU
Liberty
Utah State
Louisiana (Rajun Cajuns)
Old Dominion
Kent State
San Diego State
Army
North Texas
Florida
Memphis
Georgia State
Western Michigan
East Carolina
Auburn
Air Force
Mississippi State
UCLA
Minnesota
Virginia
Virginia Tech
Clemson
Oklahoma
North Carolina
Tennessee
Pittsburg
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Washington State
Boise State
Alabama
Georgia
Arkansas
Oklahoma State
Kentucky
Ohio State
Ole Miss
Kansas State

Tie Breaker: National Championship Winner : Georgia
Tie Breaker: Total Points Scored in National Championship : 60

[jmorgret07]

Toledo
Coastal Carolina
Appalachian State
Fresno State
BYU
Liberty
Oregon State
Louisiana
Tulsa
Kent State
San Diego State
Missouri
North Texas
UCF
Hawaii
Ball State
Western Michigan
East Carolina
Auburn
Louisville
Mississippi State
UCLA
West Virginia
SMU
Virginia Tech
Clemson
Oklahoma
North Carolina
Purdue
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Washington State
Boise State
Alabama
Michigan
Penn State
Notre Dame
Iowa
Ohio State
Baylor
Kansas State

Tiebreaker: Alabama
Tiebreaker: 61

[Deleted]

Toledo
Coastal Carolina
Western Kentucky
Fresno State
BYU
Liberty
Oregon State
Louisiana
Old Dominion
Wyoming
San Diego State
Army
North Texas
Florida
Memphis
Georgia State
Western Michigan
Boston College
Auburn
Air Force
Mississippi State
UCLA
Minnesota
Virginia
Virginia Tech
Clemson
Oklahoma
North Carolina
Tennessee
Pittsburgh
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Washington State
Boise State
Alabama
Georgia
Penn State
Notre Dame
Kentucky
Ohio State
Ole Miss
LSU

Tie Breaker: Georgia
Tie Breaker: 55 Points

[Buckeye2b]

I will get my picks in over the weekend. I'm coming to reclaim my title of badass pickery!! I wailed on these picks two years ago and plan to keep bringing the heat!!!

[al63]

Toledo

Coastal Carolina

Appalachian St.

Fresno St.

BYU

Liberty

Oregon St.

Louisiana

Tulsa

Kent St.

UTSA

Missouri

Miami(OH)

Florida

Memphis

Georgia St.

Nevada

Boston College

Auburn

Louisville

Mississippi St.

North Carolina St.

Minnesota

Virginia

Maryland

Clemson

Oregon

North Carolina

Purdue

Michigan St.

Arizona St.

Texas A&M

Washington St.

Boise St.

Alabama

Georgia

Penn St.

Notre Dame

Iowa

Ohio St.

Mississippi

LSU

Georgia

57

[Rambo McClain]

Toledo
Coastal Carolina
Appalachian State
Fresno State
BYU
Liberty
Utah State
Louisiana
Tulsa
Wyoming
UT San Antonio
Army
North Texas
Florida
Memphis
Georgia State
Nevada
East Carolina
Auburn
Air Force
Mississippi State
NC State
Minnesota
Virginia
Maryland
Clemson
Oklahoma
North Carolina
Purdue
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Washington State
Boise State
Cincinnati
Michigan
Penn State
Oklahoma State
Iowa
Utah
Baylor
LSU

Cincinnati
55

[sportsjock]

Toledo
Northern Illinois
Appalachian State
Fresno State
BYU
Liberty
Oregon State
Louisiana
Tulsa
Wyoming
San Diego State
Missouri
North Texas
Florida
Memphis
Ball State
Western Michigan
Boston College
Auburn
Louisville
Mississippi State
UCLA
Minnesota
Virginia
Maryland
Iowa State
Oklahoma
North Carolina
Purdue
Pittsburgh
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Washington State
Boise State
Alabama
Georgia
Arkansas
Notre Dame
Kentucky
Ohio State
Baylor
LSU

Tie Breaker: Alabama
Tie Breaker: 70 Points

[vottruckers]

Toledo
Northern Illinois
Appalachian State
Fresno State
BYU
Liberty
Oregon State
Louisiana
Tulsa
Kent State
San Diego State
Missouri
North Texas
Florida
Hawaii
Georgia State
Nevada
East Carolina
Auburn
Air Force
Texas Tech
NC State
Minnesota
Virginia
Virginia Tech
Clemson
Oregon
South Carolina
Tennessee
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Miami (FL)
Boise State
Alabama
Michigan
Penn State
Notre Dame
Iowa
Utah
Baylor
LSU

Tie Breaker: Michigan
Tie Breaker: 54

[Buckeye2b]

Toledo
Coastal Carolina
Western Kentucky
Fresno State
BYU
Liberty
Oregon State
Louisiana
Tulsa
Kent State
UTSA
Army
Miami
Florida
Memphis
Georgia State
Nevada
East Carolina
Houston
Air Force
Mississippi State
NC State
Minnesota
SMU
Virginia Tech
Iowa State
Oregon
North Carolina
Purdue
MSU
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Miami (FL)
Boise State
Cincinnati
Georgia
Penn St.
Oklahoma State
Kentucky
Ohio State
Baylor
LSU (sending Coach O out)


Tie Breaker: National Championship Winner : Georgia
Tie Breaker: Total Points Scored in National Championship : 73

[Vogel]

Toledo
Coastal Carolina
Appalachian State
Fresno State
BYU
Liberty
Utah State
Louisiana
Tulsa
Wyoming
UT San Antonio
Army
North Texas
Florida
Memphis
Georgia State
Nevada
East Carolina
Auburn
Air Force
Mississippi State
NC State
Minnesota
Virginia
Maryland
Clemson
Oklahoma
North Carolina
Purdue
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Washington State
Boise State
Cincinnati
Michigan
Penn State
Oklahoma State
Iowa
Ohio State
Baylor
LSU

Michigan
58

[BellevueBuckeye]

Toledo
Coastal Carolina
Appalachian State
Fresno State
BYU
Liberty
Oregon State
Louisiana
Tulsa
Wyoming
UT San Antonio
Missouri
Miami (OH)
Florida
Memphis
Georgia State
Nevada
Boston College
Auburn
Louisville
Mississippi State
NC State
Minnesota
Virginia
Virginia Tech
Iowa State
Oklahoma
North Carolina
Tennessee
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Miami (FL)
Boise State
Alabama
Georgia
Penn State
Notre Dame
Kentucky
Ohio State
Ole Miss
LSU

Alabama
62

[purefan]

Toledo
Coastal Carolina
Appalachian St.
Fresno St.
BYU
Eastern Michigan
Oregon St.
Marshall
Tulsa
Wyoming
San Diego St.
Missouri
North Texas
UCF
Hawaii
Georgia St.
Nevada
Boston College
Auburn
Air Force
Miss. St.
NC. State
West Virginia
Virginia
Maryland
Clemson
Oregon
South Carolina
Tennessee
Pittsburg
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Miami(Fl)
Boise State
Alabama
Michigan
Penn State
Oklahoma State
Iowa
Ohio State
Baylor
LSU
Tiebreaker:Alabama
Tiebreaker:47

[Whittaker]

Toledo
Coastal Carolina
Appalachian State
Fresno State
UAB
Liberty
Oregon State
Louisiana
Tulsa
Kent State
UT San Antonio
Missouri
North Texas
Florida
Memphis
Georgia State
Western Michigan
East Carolina
Auburn
Louisville
Mississippi State
NC State
Minnesota
SMU
Virginia Tech
Clemson
Oklahoma
North Carolina
Tennessee
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Miami (FL)
Boise State
Alabama
Georgia
Arkansas
Oklahoma State
Kentucky
Ohio State
Ole Miss
LSU

Tie Breaker: Alabama
Tie Breaker: 49

[tori2]

Toledo
Coastal
Western
South Carolina st.
Fresno st.
BYU
Liberty
Oregan st.
Louisiana
Tulsa
Wyoming
San Diego st.
Army
North Texas
Florida
Hawaii
Ball st
Western Michigan
Boston college
Auburn
Air Force
Miss st.
NC st.
Minnesota
Virginia
Maryland
Clemson
Oklahoma
North Carolina
Purdue
Pitt
Wisconsin
Miami
Boise st.
Alabama
Michigan
Arkansas
Oklahoma st.
Kentucky
OSU
Ole Miss
LSU
Michigan
44

[baldref]

Toledo
Coastal Carolina
Appalachian State
Fresno State
BYU
Liberty
Utah State
Louisiana
Tulsa
Wyoming
UT San Antonio
Army
North Texas
Florida
Memphis
Georgia State
Nevada
East Carolina
Auburn
Air Force
Mississippi State
NC State
Minnesota
Virginia
Maryland
Clemson
Oklahoma
North Carolina
Purdue
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Texas A&M
Washington State
Boise State
Cincinnati
Michigan
Penn State
Oklahoma State
Iowa
Ohio State
Baylor
LSU

Alabama
58

[Buckeye2b]

So, what are we gonna do with the WF/Tex A&M game that is now WF/Rutgers?? Make it go away or repick it?? If it’s a repick, I would now like Wake over Rutgers. 😳

If you had this thread locked, I unlocked it to ask the question.

[Buckeye2b]

And just now, the Memphis/Hawaii game is cancelled due to Covid. Enough already…

[Deleted]

I think we should Not count the games that get cancelled or teams replacing other teams. We are to far along with it to make changes and have to Re pick.

[Buckeye2b]

Either count for nothing or everyone gets a win in those two games…

[Vogel]

The Wake Forest / Rutgers game will not count, we all took A&M anyways.
Any game cancelled or a team is replaced will not count.

[Buckeye2b]

Now I just saw the Holiday Bowl is down too due to UCLA Covid issues….

[Vogel]

Standings through 12/29 games
4 Bowl games have been thrown out of the Pick'em
Hawaii - Memphis - cancelled
ECU - BC - cancelled
UCLA - NC St - cancelled
SMU - UVA - cancelled

3 upcoming games will be thrown out
Wake Forest - Rutgers - because Rutgers replaced A&M
Washington St - Central Mich - because CMU replaced Miami, FL
Boise St - Central Mich - cancelled

15-8 - tori2
14-9 - browns624
14-9 - markmay
14-9 - Rambo McClain
14-9 - Vogel
14-9 - baldref
13-10 - al63
13-10 - BellevueBuckeye
12-11 - Buckeye2b
11-12 - Whittaker
10-13 - jmorgret07
10-13 - sportsjock
10-13 - vottruckers
10-13 - purefan


Record by Conference so far
3-0 - American - 2-0 vs SEC so far
2-0 - Big Ten
2-2 - Big XII
1-1 - ACC
0-2 - Pac 12
0-4 - SEC

American has 1 team left. Cincy vs Bama - can the American make a clean sweep of the SEC in Bowl games?

[Buckeye2b]

God I hope so… just another thing to nail SEC fans about…

[Vogel]

Wow, I did a poor job counting last time on al63 & BellevueBuckeye's picks. I count losses (it's typically the smaller number to count) then find the difference for everyone's win/loss total. I must have transposed their numbers or I just can't count because both were 10-13 coming into yesterday's games and not 13-10.

Here are the updated Standings through 12/30 games. I double checked the records for everyone so they should be right.

Standings through 12/30 games
17-10 - Rambo McClain
17-10 - Vogel
17-10 - tori2
17-10 - badlref
15-12 - browns624
15-12 - markmay
15-12 - Buckeye2b
13-14 - jmorgret07
13-14 - vottruckers
13-14 - Whittaker
12-15 - al63
12-15 - sportsjock
12-15 - BellevueBuckeye
12-15 - purefan

[Vogel]

How some other bowl "predictor" methods have fared so far
18-9 - Sagarin Recent (Recent games weighted more than games played earlier in the season)
17-10 - Vogel Rankings (Old School - original formula)
16-11 - Vogel Rankings (my current method)
16-11 - Worse offense (picking the team with the worse offense)
14-13 - Sagarin (the ones he publishes)
13-14 - Vegas Lines

I didn't do ESPN's FPI this year. But the fact that the SEC is 1-5 right now in Bowl games I think it's safe to assume the FPI is probably doing worse than Vegas.

[Vogel]

Standings through 12/31 games
18-11 - tori2
17-12 - browns624
17-12 - markmay
17-12 - Rambo McClain
17-12 - Vogel
17-12 - baldref
16-13 - Buckeye2b
15-14 - Whittaker
14-15 - jmorgret07
14-15 - al63
14-15 - sportsjock
14-15 - vottruckers
14-15 - BellevueBuckeye
13-16 - purefan

[Vogel]

Standings through 1/1 games - 1 game left
22-12 - tori2 (LSU)
21-13 - browns624 (Kansas State)
20-14 - Vogel
20-14 - baldref
20-14 - Buckeye2b
19-15 - markmay
19-15 - Rambo McClain
19-15 - Whittaker
18-16 - sportsjock
16-18 - jmorgret07
16-18 - BellevueBuckeye
16-18 - purefan
15-19 - al63
15-19 - vottruckers

1 game left LSU vs Kansas State
- if LSU wins then tori2 wins
- if Kansas State wins then we go to the tiebreaker rounds
- if K-State wins and then Georgia beats Bama, browns624 will be the Champ
- if K-State wins and Bama wins, it will come down to the combined score in the NC game. browns624 went with 60 and tori2 went with 44. The person closest to the actual number will be the winner

[tori2]

Go LSU

[browns624]

Go Georgia bring it home!