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Post by Willard Fillmore on Oct 8, 2019 13:50:58 GMT -5
Well, as we enter week 7... My early predictions were fairly close with a couple misses. Glenville is indeed going to be on the 8-9-10 range with their 7-3 record. They are getting help from Revere's tanking. Revere is going to need to win 3 of their last 4 to get in. It looks very unlikely that they will be able to beat Aurora (one of the better teams in the state in D3), so they will need to win the rest. The unlikely thorn in the side of Glenville has been River Valley. Their win over Clear Fork is huge and they will be looking more and more like a 'lock' if they can beat Pleasant this week. That is a huge game. As for the top of the bracket...Mansfield should still be #1 unless Norwalk can go 9-1. Mansfield is my favorite to win the region, but I could see Sandusky, Norwalk, Tiffin, Medina Buckeye or Holy Name also finding their way out. Here is how Pastuer currently power ranks the teams. 1. Mansfield 2. Sandusky 3. Norwalk 4. TC 5. Medina Buckeye 6. Holy Name 7. Glenville 8. Bay Village Here is how Pastuer currently projects the teams to finish in Playoff points. 1. Mansfield 2. Buckeye 3. Sandusky 4. Norwalk 5. Holy Name 6. Bay 7. Tiffin 8. River Valley 9. Glenvile 10. Revere I'm still not sold on Senior being the favorite. I'm big on teams being aptly prepared with conference competition and playoff history when postseason arrives. Mansfield is 2-8 all-time. Most of Senior's post season games came when they were in a higher Division. And didn't recruit as well.
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 8, 2019 15:33:29 GMT -5
I'm still not sold on Senior being the favorite. I'm big on teams being aptly prepared with conference competition and playoff history when postseason arrives. Mansfield is 2-8 all-time. Most of Senior's post season games came when they were in a higher Division. And didn't recruit as well. Sandusky's playoff success arrived as a higher division. I can't touch the recruiting part, HA!
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 8, 2019 15:37:53 GMT -5
I'm still not sold on Senior being the favorite. I'm big on teams being aptly prepared with conference competition and playoff history when postseason arrives. Mansfield is 2-8 all-time. So who do you think is the favorite? I think Norwalk-Sandusky will have a better chance as well as Holy Name. But, Mansfield may prove me wrong despite their history and not being as battle-tested as the other 3.
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berg19
All Conference
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Post by berg19 on Oct 8, 2019 15:42:10 GMT -5
OHSAA Division III, Region 10 2019 Unofficial Rankings Latest update: 10/6/2019 12:37:12 PM EDT Week 6 status: COMPLETE
View the official OHSAA rankings (after week 4) by clicking here. Top 8 teams following week 10 qualify for playoffs Current Rank W-L ID # Mailing City School Current Average Level 1 Level 2 L2 divisor Last Year Qualified 1 6-0 940 Mansfield Mansfield 13.8167 34.0 81.5 100 2017 2 5-1 1160 Norwalk Norwalk 12.9167 25.0 87.5 100 2018 3 5-1 1394 Sandusky Sandusky 12.1833 29.0 73.5 100 2018 4 5-1 276 Medina Buckeye 11.9333 26.0 76.0 100 2018 5 4-2 168 Bay Village Bay 10.1333 20.0 68.0 100 2018 6 5-1 728 Parma Heights Holy Name 10.0167 28.0 53.5 100 2016 7 5-1 1314 Caledonia River Valley 8.6500 25.5 44.0 100 2016 8t 3-3 1288 Richfield Revere 7.2333 17.0 44.0 100 2005 8t 5-1 406 Tiffin Columbian 7.2333 29.0 24.0 100 2018 10 4-2 1320 Rocky River Rocky River 5.4667 22.0 18.0 100 2018 11 2-4 138 Ashland Ashland 4.2667 11.5 23.5 100 2017 12 3-3 652 Cleveland Glenville 3.8167 16.0 11.5 100 2017 13 2-4 1158 Norton Norton 3.7667 10.0 21.0 100 1997 14 4-2 1324 Toledo Rogers 3.6717 19.0 5.0 99 2009 15 2-4 390 Lodi Cloverleaf 3.5667 10.0 19.0 100 2008 16 2-4 1680 Millersburg West Holmes 3.4500 10.5 17.0 100 2018 17 2-4 242 Bowling Green Bowling Green 3.0833 11.0 12.5 100 2018 18 2-4 1410 East Cleveland Shaw 2.2167 10.0 5.5 100 2011 19 1-5 790 Cleveland John Hay 2.0500 6.0 10.5 100 2013 20 1-5 1734 Toledo Woodward 2.0333 6.5 9.5 100 None 21 1-5 856 Lexington Lexington 1.7333 5.0 9.0 100 2018 22 1-5 976 Maumee Maumee 1.5000 6.0 5.0 100 2010 23 1-5 422 Copley Copley 1.0000 6.0 0.0 100 2016 24 1-5 464 Defiance Defiance 0.9167 5.5 0.0 100 2013 25t 0-6 506 Cleveland East Technical 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100 None 25t 0-6 880 Cleveland Lincoln West 0.0000 0.0 0.0 99 None 25t 0-6 926 Mansfield Madison Comprehensive 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100 2014 Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site. Contact: Joe Eitel Copyright © 2000-2019, JoeEitel.com.
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Post by malabar10 on Oct 9, 2019 13:32:06 GMT -5
Maple, only the 7 seniors that started and lost to Bay in the playoffs will be playing. No ghosts of Christmas losses!! Plus the 2 wins were at Arlin, the 8 losses on the road!!
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Post by sport24278 on Oct 9, 2019 13:55:42 GMT -5
mansfield is the favorite in this region, but will still have to earn their way out. and only that 1st round game will be at home. i would be willing to bet that their opponent doesn't get called for 17 penalties like norwalk and sandusky were when they visited arlin.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 9, 2019 19:38:41 GMT -5
So who do you think is the favorite? I think Norwalk-Sandusky will have a better chance as well as Holy Name. But, Mansfield may prove me wrong despite their history and not being as battle-tested as the other 3. So you think two teams that both lost to Mansfield are better? Interesting philosophy
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Post by sportsfan15 on Oct 9, 2019 21:27:22 GMT -5
mansfield is the favorite in this region, but will still have to earn their way out. and only that 1st round game will be at home. i would be willing to bet that their opponent doesn't get called for 17 penalties like norwalk and sandusky were when they visited arlin. You are insinuating that the refs were an advantage? Or Could it be that Sr high was the better team? That it is natural that their size and speed was creating havoc for offenses? maybe they were more balanced than those teams offensively? Faster and more talented overall? Or could it be that Sr. high is breaking the stigma that they are not a disciplined football team and fans cannot believe it? Comical that someone implies Sr. high has the officials on their side lol
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Post by sport24278 on Oct 10, 2019 6:54:43 GMT -5
mansfield is the favorite in this region, but will still have to earn their way out. and only that 1st round game will be at home. i would be willing to bet that their opponent doesn't get called for 17 penalties like norwalk and sandusky were when they visited arlin. You are insinuating that the refs were an advantage? Or Could it be that Sr high was the better team? That it is natural that their size and speed was creating havoc for offenses? maybe they were more balanced than those teams offensively? Faster and more talented overall? Or could it be that Sr. high is breaking the stigma that they are not a disciplined football team and fans cannot believe it? Comical that someone implies Sr. high has the officials on their side lol i clearly stated that mansfield is the favorite to win the region and on those particular nights they were better than both sandusky and norwalk. my point was that IF they meet again, it will likely not be at arlin field and their opponent will likely not be flagged 17 times.
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 10, 2019 7:02:32 GMT -5
I think Norwalk-Sandusky will have a better chance as well as Holy Name. But, Mansfield may prove me wrong despite their history and not being as battle-tested as the other 3. So you think two teams that both lost to Mansfield are better? Interesting philosophy I think they'll be better prepared. Also, both were in the Regional Title game last year, so it won't be a new experience for either/or. The bright lights could be a factor for Senior High. But, as I stated, I very well could be proven wrong.
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Post by smitty1974 on Oct 10, 2019 20:48:56 GMT -5
final score in region 10. bay village 63 normandy 0.bay has left rocky river(4-2) parma sr(2-4) and revere(3-3).normandy is 0-7 and bay is 5-2.so bay will go down by beating a winless team. bay chances for a home game in playoff is starting to go down.
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Post by smitty1974 on Oct 10, 2019 21:27:31 GMT -5
in region 10 heres 5 teams shedule left.revere coming off a bad loss to previous winless medina highland(1-5) has copley(1-5),kent roosevelt(3-3),aurora(6-0) and bay(4-2).medina buckeye(5-1) has holy name(5-1)in a big one,normandy(0-7)rocky river(4-2) and parma sr(2-4).rocky river has parma sr(2-4),bay(4-2),buckeye(5-1) and elyria catholic(3-3).holy name has buckeye(5-1),elyria catholic(3-3),valley forge(3-3)and fairview(2-4). and finally river valley(5-1)has pleasant(4-2) i think river valley will beat the spartans at home,marion harding(2-4)shelby(5-1)and lexington(1-5)i think river valley will finish 8-2,they will lose to shelby.
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 12, 2019 7:19:16 GMT -5
If Buckeye beats Holy Name today, they'll be creeping up on Mansfield Senior as well although just tenths of a point behind.
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 12, 2019 20:36:26 GMT -5
Holy Name defeated Buckeye in a key Region 10 matchup, 28-19.
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Post by Ramsfan09 on Oct 12, 2019 23:31:46 GMT -5
I still think that Glenville is going to grab the last spot which wouldn’t be good for Mansfield or Norwalk.
River Valley could end up losing out but I see them going 1-2 with them finishing 6-4.
Rocky River has a tough last 3 games also. I see them finishing 5-5
Glenville will win out to end up 7-3 And in my opinion grabbing the 8 seed.
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Post by smitty1974 on Oct 13, 2019 0:10:04 GMT -5
hudson ,im sorry but i disagree with you.glenville plays jfk (0-7) this week. joe eitel has them 12th and they should beat jfk they will drop down a couple of slots and then finish with john adams(3-4) and rhodes(3-4). the senate teams glenville has beat have a combined record of 13-36. so not many points to get plus lost their first 3 games to euclid,cleveland hts and olentangy liberty a combined 19-2 but 0 points. if glenville beat 2 of those 3 teams with the way senate is this yea,then glenville would be a factor,but they didnt get the job done.
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Post by smitty1974 on Oct 13, 2019 0:27:10 GMT -5
holy name has moved to third in region 10 while medina buckeye drops to fifth.now most teams in top 12 region has some good teams left except for 2 teams that play teams below .500 left they are norton and glenville.the sbc lake division this year is a gaunlet gain a lot of points.tiffin,sandusky and norwalk all have perkins left otherwise the points will be there.holy name has a fairly easy schedule left. buckeye has normandy(0-7) this week and should drop then finish with 5-2 rocky river and then parma sr 2-5.so buckeye isnt a sure bet to make it.bay dont have a powerful finish with rocky river(5-2),parma sr(2-5) and revere(4-3).revere stands to gain a lot by beating these teams:kent roosevelt(4-3),aurora(7-0)and bay village(5-2).revere is 4-3.
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Post by BellevueBuckeye on Oct 13, 2019 7:19:23 GMT -5
Pasteur currently has Glennville with a 42% chance of getting in, though he does currently have them getting in at 7-3 in his projection, edgeing out a 7-3 River Valley 15.5 to 15.2
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 17, 2019 21:00:44 GMT -5
Assuming zero upsets, Norwalk should go from 17.4571 average to 20.0875. If Bellevue and Sandusky win, then 21.1375.
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 17, 2019 21:29:19 GMT -5
Mansfield Senior can be as high as 21 5375 if pickem games(John Hay, West Holmes, and Sandusky) go their way. Automatic points from Ashland-Lex game. Westerville North already lost this evening.
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Post by Ramsfan09 on Oct 17, 2019 23:45:05 GMT -5
Only teams with a legit shot at that 8 seed is Glenville and River Valley. Rocky River will end up 0-3 in the last three games. Revere will be lucky to go 1-2 in the last three. To be honest River Valley could go 0-3 or as high as 2-1.
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Post by jmorgret07 on Oct 19, 2019 12:42:59 GMT -5
So, Glenville at Norwalk in Week 11?
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 19, 2019 13:59:53 GMT -5
So, Glenville at Norwalk in Week 11? Pasteur seems to think so although I'm still not seeing it.
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Post by Ramsfan09 on Oct 19, 2019 15:03:27 GMT -5
If I was Norwalk I would lose on purpose to stay away from Glenville. Glenville will blow Norwalk out of the water. Glenville is probably the best team in the region in my opinion. They had a very tough out of conference schedule. IF GLENVILLE GETS IN THE WILL TAKE THE REGION
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Post by Ramsfan09 on Oct 19, 2019 15:13:26 GMT -5
If Norwalk does finish 1st and that's a big if they better hope River Valley sneaks in. If Valley gets in that will be a very easy win. If Glenville gets in they have no chance at all. Glenville has a close lose to a very good Euclid team. I know everyone wants to say this isn't the same Glenville as in the past but they still have more talent than anyone in region 10
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Post by Ramsfan09 on Oct 19, 2019 15:23:13 GMT -5
If you don't believe me go to YouTube and type in Cleveland Glenville vs Cleveland Heights.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 19, 2019 16:22:06 GMT -5
If you don't believe me go to YouTube and type in Cleveland Glenville vs Cleveland Heights. We understand your opinion
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 19, 2019 17:36:08 GMT -5
If you don't believe me go to YouTube and type in Cleveland Glenville vs Cleveland Heights. 7-1 team that's playing for their playoff lives and had struggled against some poor teams?
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 19, 2019 17:37:42 GMT -5
If I was Norwalk I would lose on purpose to stay away from Glenville. Glenville will blow Norwalk out of the water. Glenville is probably the best team in the region in my opinion. They had a very tough out of conference schedule. IF GLENVILLE GETS IN THE WILL TAKE THE REGION if I was Norwalk, I'd continue to win so we wouldn't have to play Columbian a 2nd week in a row.
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Post by maplecityjake on Oct 19, 2019 17:39:48 GMT -5
If Norwalk does finish 1st and that's a big if they better hope River Valley sneaks in. If Valley gets in that will be a very easy win. If Glenville gets in they have no chance at all. Glenville has a close lose to a very good Euclid team. I know everyone wants to say this isn't the same Glenville as in the past but they still have more talent than anyone in region 10 it isn't the same Glenville, and of all the years I've watched High School Football, if there is a week for anomalies to happen, it's Week 1.
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