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Post by sithbucknut77 on Oct 7, 2022 12:24:34 GMT -5
Barry Bonds has the real record, that’s all that needs to be said. real record? He cheated Yes...its the real record. No one cares about the cheating except holier than thou baseball writers, certainly MLB turned a blind eye during the whole era(as did the writers). How valid was Ruth's record before integration? How about the methamphetamines widely used by players from the 40's through the 70's? No one is clean...
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Oct 6, 2022 14:42:14 GMT -5
No attempt to diminish his historical achievement, but I have lingering questions/ I'm assuming they play a lot more games today, than Aaron, Ruth, Mantle and all the others. I have attempted to get these statistical comparisons and had no luck. My question is, how many at bats, per home run compared to the all-time home hitters? I pulled some numbers based on some of the names you mentioned. These will be single season type numbers since the thread is about what Judge has done this season. I grabbed the names you mentioned plus a couple other big single season moments. Also for reference, MLB went to the 162 game schedule in 1961. That change is what prompted much of the controversy when Maris and Mantle were chasing Ruth's 60 HR record. First some definitions: HR/PA = home runs per plate appearance, plate appearances include everything such as walks and hit by pitch. OPS+ = on base % + slugging % normalized over the whole league. This is a measure of power and ability to get on base with the league comparison with a number of 100 being the league average. wRC+ is very similar to OPS+ but adds the additional measure of park effects. Again league average = 100. WAR = is wins above replacement as calculated by Fangraphs, to oversimplify, it is meant to be how valuable said player is over the average replacement. Aaron Judge 2022 - 62 HR HR/PA 11.2; OPS+ 211; wRC+ 207; WAR 11.7 Barry Bonds 2001 - 73 HR HR/PA 9.1; OPS+ 259; wRC+ 235; WAR 12.5 Babe Ruth 1927 - 60 HR HR/PA 11.5; OPS+ 225; wRC+ 212; WAR 12.0 Roger Maris 1961 - 61 HR HR/PA 11.4; OPS+ 167; wRC+ 162; WAR 7.1 Mickey Mantle 1961 - 54 HR HR/PA 11.9; OPS+ 206; wRC+ 196; WAR 10.3 Mark McGwire 1998 - 70 HR HR/PA 9.7; OPS+ 216; wRC+ 205; WAR 8.5 Hank Aaron 1971(age 37 season & highest single season total) - 47 HR HR/PA 12.2; OPS+ 194; wRC+ 191; WAR 7.1 The plate appearance stat is pretty straight forward with Bonds and McGwire as outliers almost assuredly due to PDE's. Those arguments are for another thread. I find the OPS+ and/or wRC+ stats interesting because it tells how the individuals season stacks up against their in-season peers and the overall hitting environment. IMO Judge's 2022 is very comparable to most of the great, high HR total single seasons ever produced.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Oct 6, 2022 13:54:53 GMT -5
Wasn't he a skinny little runt a short time ago ? And now he's this huge guy setting records, Kinda like Mark McGuire. He was that big in high school. And its only an American League and team record. .
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Apr 19, 2022 13:04:02 GMT -5
Sithbucknut77’s 2022 Prediction Column
Welcome back to everyone! It’s that time of year for the best fantasy baseball league around. Apologies for the lateness of this year’s predictions, as they say, Poop happens. Rest assured the accuracy of this year’s predictions will not be effected by my tardiness, they will be effected by managing. For the new guy(what do we call him anyway? Isperel is awful long) and a refresher for us old timers, I poured each team into my database of past owner performance and run countless simulations to derive the final standings. But before we get to those results, a brief summary of each squad. And remember, Sith’s predictions, 50% of the time it’s right 100% of the time.
BROW
Brow looks to be making that quick turnaround after a poor showing in 2021. He has made some strong moves to build back in the counting stats but ratios may be a struggle. This may be the 1st time in a few seasons that BROW doesn’t own the oldest squad, a bit of a surprise. Regardless of the improvement, there doesn’t appear to be a whole of help on the horizon. A push near .500 would should be considered a success.
CEO
Oh how the mighty have fallen. I could be mistaken as many of my historical records were lost in the great laptop debacle of 2022, but last year might have been the only time CEO has missed the playoffs. He went all-in on a complete rebuild trading away nearly anything not named Ohtani. Will the rebuild be successful in its 1st year? Can he make it back to 500? It’s possible but not likely per my model. He will need the bevy of young prospects to meet expectations or an OG Pronk performance could be possible.
ISPEREL
PRONK 3.0 has taken over the former Quad County Confluence team, and unlike PRONK 2.0, it looks like fell into a much better situation. With a handful of top 10 at their position players like Trout, Burnes, Hader, and some nice high prospects like Witt/Grod, he is positioned well to make some noise in his 1st season. I think the turning point will be at the trade deadline, will he be close enough to contend or will Trout season finally be open.
SITH
After making a hard push for the postseason, SITH fell way short in the playoffs. And the effects of those transactions will hurt for some time. The historically poor pitching staff has been reshaped into something that should be viable but has come at the expense of what usually is a top 4 offense. There are some serious question marks around this roster and its ability to compete week in and week out.
SOX
I think we can officially remove the “New Pronk” moniker for SOX. He has demonstrated a far superior acumen in acquiring players than we anticipated. Two words… Adam Wainwright. While it has been a tough rebuild, the pitching staff has taken the greatest of steps to be competitive. While the hitting is lagging the potential is there. And fair warning to anyone that pokes this bear, he is reasonably ok at trash talk.
REDS
Last year’s runner up is once again primed to make a run at the division. I’m not sure how many teams will compete in the hitting categories with REDS and he looks to be damn near stellar in with pitching ratios. That spells success more likely than not. The question is can he close it out this year.
DRT
It’s a good thing DRT didn’t become the 1st team to secede control to the league for late entry fee payment because he primed for big run this season. Last season DRT was flirting with making the playoffs like a couple of high school freshman, but did not make a midseason push, which I believe was the right thing to do. The moves made and not made have left him potentially top 3rd in the league of most categories. The of top end superstars is just sick.
TESL
The defending champ… Is he a one hit wonder or set up for continued success? If you strictly look at the pitching side you would say he will be tough to beat. The amount of quality arms TESL has to throw out there every week has no match within the league. Quite frankly it is disgusting. It’s so good he can ride a middle of pack offense to another championship this season if he makes the right decisions.
STRO
STRO is another strong contender from the superior WORLD division. He will possibly finish top 3 or 4 in most categories making him a tough matchup with whomever the matchup is. He still pushes the boundaries of how many shortstop’s to roster but it continues to work. Teams are going to hate facing STRO once Tatis comes back…unless you want to trade the new Mr. Glass?...maybe?...
TIG
It sounds like TIG does not think too highly of his squad. I can’t decide if he playing reverse psychology games with us or he truly think his team blows. My analysis has much closer to 500 and competing than several other squads. The areas where TIG really shines are the offensive counting stats and pitching ratios. These are good enough to be competitive every single week. One or two breaks or the right trade could have him pushing for a playoff spot.
As mentioned above, the WORLD division looks to be the much stronger division with what I classify as 3 elite teams. The OHIO division needs them to beat up on each other if two teams from OHIO are to make the playoffs.
Predicted Final Standings
OHIO WORLD
REDS 149-79 TESL 150-78
ISPEREL 133-95 STRO 150-78
BROW 119-109 DRT 140-88
TIG 102-126 CEO 92-136
SITH 54-174 SOX 51-177
Playoffs
TESL vs. DRT
REDS vs. STRO
Championship
DRT vs. REDS
Champ
REDS
Good luck to all this year!
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 27, 2022 18:32:20 GMT -5
Dr Torch....i sent you a pm
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 27, 2022 6:58:50 GMT -5
^^ fresh discord link for any not on yet.
Keepers have been executed and everyone has players! Woot wtg!
Draft starts at noon est with BROW kicking us off!
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 26, 2022 20:37:15 GMT -5
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 26, 2022 16:16:14 GMT -5
Get those keepers set!
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 23, 2022 21:48:16 GMT -5
Pushed the keeper date a bit to help some guys out.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 23, 2022 20:00:12 GMT -5
Update: Keepers are 3/24 @ 11:59. For anyone that hasn't joined discord yet pls do. Great place to chat! Thx for this post
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 23, 2022 13:05:56 GMT -5
Reminder that the keeper deadline is tonight, wednesday 3/23/2022 @ 11:59pm.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 21, 2022 20:53:42 GMT -5
Draft lottery has been run and the results are as follows: 1 - BROW 2 - CEO 3 - TIG 4 - ISPERAL 5 - SOX 6 - DRT 7 - SITH 8 - REDS 9 - STRO 10 - TESL
I have video of the draft generator if anyone would like me to email or text it to them. The video file is too big to post here or the discord and I'm too stupid to use a site that generates an emailed report of the draft order.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 20, 2022 18:51:53 GMT -5
My apologies to all. I thought I sent a league wide email letting everyone know what's up. Apparently I did not...again my apologies.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 19, 2022 15:33:40 GMT -5
Poll up on league home page
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 19, 2022 13:39:20 GMT -5
Let's get those entry fees paid!
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 17, 2022 9:00:18 GMT -5
All on fantrax
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 16, 2022 22:01:55 GMT -5
Amazingly enough I got the schedule completed and uploaded in one day. I can't see straight anymore but at least its done!
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 16, 2022 12:52:17 GMT -5
I already miss BELL and his ability to figure out scheduling lol
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 16, 2022 11:13:08 GMT -5
Welcome to the 8th Season in the 9th year of the NCOAST Dynasty League.
Past Winners:
2021-TESL
2020-COVID
2019-REDS
2018-TES
L2017-CEO
2016-TIG
2015-DRT
2014-CEO
It’s great to be back! A few housekeeping items before we get started. As most of you are aware we recently suffered an early retirement by Bellevue Buckeye, aka Quad county confluence, aka BELL, aka the TROUT hoarder. I would like to take a second and thank him for being a quality member of the best fantasy league I have taken apart in! Thank you and good luck in retirement!
As such, we have replacement owner in TEAM ISPEREL. He will be taking over BELL’s team in full. Please welcome him into the league by bombarding him with Trout offers!
Rule Changes:
The Saves category has been changed to “Saves + Holds”
Added one “MI”(middle infield) starting spot
Minor roster management:
All minor players will be rostered alongside each team’s active players. Each owner has complete control over roster transactions (no commissioner involvement). Additionally, the specified 15 ACTIVE keeper and 15 MINOR keepers is removed and replaced with 30 TOTAL keepers, regardless of roster designation(active vs. minor), to be determined at each owners discretion. Ex: Owner 1 keeps 25 active players & 5 minors’ players; owner 2 keeps 10 active players and 20 minor’s players. This would maintain the 10 round active draft prior each new season and does not affect the FYPD.
Schedule:
With the delayed MLB season we will switch to a 19 week schedule. This is specifically to avoid the very last week of the MLB season being used for the league championship matchup. Therefore, we will maintain 3 in-division matchups; Out of division matchups will be to face every team at least once, and 2 teams twice. FYI – the schedule will not be complete at the time of this announcement, for those that know, it can be challenging.
Keepers
Keeper deadline is 3/24/2022. Go to “TEAM” >”KEEPER ADMIN” to select your 30 total keepers.
Active Draft
Draft is set to begin 3/27/2022 @ 12pm ET. This will be a slow draft with a slight change to our previous years. The pick timer will be 4 HOURS. However, we will put the draft to “sleep” at 12am ET until 8am ET every day until it is complete. The sleep function allows us the ability to keep moving without having an inordinate amount of time for picks. I even think picks can be made while the draft is asleep.
Draft Lottery
Lottery odds were calculated based off last year final standings. It will continue to be 2 separate lotteries for playoff teams and non-playoff teams. Lottery will be drawn and posted on 3/17.
Lottery Odds:
1-6
CEO-34%
BROW-26%
ISPERAL-18%
SOX-12%
TIG-7%
DRT-3%
7-10
REDS-39%
SITH-29%
TESL-20%
STRO-12%
Transactions:
Rosters are locked until keepers are selected and executed. At that point trading of player & picks will be open. FA additions are locked until after the completion of the draft.
League Dues
$50 Fee due ASAP. There is a $10 fee per team for premium features we do use. We as a league need to decide if this is something we are interested in utilizing going forward or not. The deadline for that decision is 4/28. I will detail those features in another communication.
2022 3-Man Vote Committee
CEO
TESL
REDS
Odds and ends:
Fantrax rolled out a new app since last season. It appears to work much better than the previous web based applet. The draft room actually works well on it too. I recommend updating to that if you have not already.
Secondly, I have taken the liberty of starting a Discord server for the league. Discord is a free messaging board type app and is also available in desktop form. One of the biggest advantages imho is the ease of use on the phone. I find it far superior to navigate and post vs. the NCOAST board. 50% of the league is on there and look forward to the rest joining. If simply for the fantastic integrated GIF roasting.
In closing, welcome back and let’s get it on!!!
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 12, 2022 17:23:21 GMT -5
I’m good with anyone new. Trust that none of us would bring in a “bad” owner. Feel bad they have such a short turn around to get up to speed. I agree with this too, I believe none of us would bring on a "bad" owner. After the last couple of years, I think even with a new owner we may start to smooth out again. I even have some ideas on that.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 12, 2022 17:20:27 GMT -5
I just asked my friend and he's willing to join.I've been playing with him in another league for 7 plus years now. Let me know what you guys think I haven't heard back from CEO for a couple of days so I'm gonna go with one of my primary ethos. Its better to ask forgiveness than to ask permission. Send me and email address for your buddy and I will get him set up(Discord, email, or pm hell text me if you have the number lol ). If you haven't already, try to prime him with rules, fee, this board or better yet the discord.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 12, 2022 15:33:56 GMT -5
I’m ready/can be ready for a draft. We need to figure out what we are doing as far as roster goes as well. I also expected a mayish start date. I 2nd this!
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 12, 2022 15:33:12 GMT -5
screw that 24 hour clock rule. We can drop the pick time down AND put the thing to sleep at night so no one misses picks.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 12, 2022 14:48:08 GMT -5
I'm at the other end. Drafted 2 best balls and 2 dynasty start ups. I'm ready "to transact"!!
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 12, 2022 14:36:12 GMT -5
Based on the few of us that joined the discord and who has posted here we are good to go once we find a 10th.
Does anyone know someone that would want to take over? I tend to think it works better if the replacement owner knows someone in the League. I think we should explore that route before going somewhat public.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 10, 2022 18:45:30 GMT -5
Hey is pronk around lurking in the shadows? Should we post Quad's team in rotoworld forums or do you guys know somewhere else that is good for picking up a new owner? i have a line on a possible replacement plus a back up pool of degenerates that can't wait to get into another league.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 10, 2022 16:46:15 GMT -5
Well i guess the silver lining here is we can get Pronk back? 😂 LMAO
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 10, 2022 15:38:45 GMT -5
Baseball is back!
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Mar 8, 2022 14:57:03 GMT -5
I can echo some of the sentiment as well. I am pretty well disgusted by the opportunity being squandered by MLB & MLBPA. I'm not out on playing the fantasy game, in fact I've leaned into and added a few leagues. But the feelings you guys mention don't shock me one bit. I was not invested during the covid season even though I participated in a couple of leagues. Even with this BS stoppage I doubt I will personally quit anytime soon but wouldn't blame anyone if they did.
All that said, I am bummed to see BELL go. A great league mate in a great league that is filled with a bunch guys spread across the country.
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Post by sithbucknut77 on Feb 22, 2022 11:09:55 GMT -5
Some good talk starting on our discord channel...join up to get in on the fun! discord.gg/cHbY3Za3
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