Very early computer rankings

[Vogel]

Very early computer rankings. I know in my rankings I use a portion of last years rankings this early in the season because 3 games isn't a lot to go on.

	Vogel	Sagarin	Massey
1	Georgia	Alabama	Georgia
2	Alabama	Georgia	Alabama
3	Ohio State	Ohio State	Ohio State
4	Michigan	Oklahoma	Penn State
5	Penn State	Michigan	Michigan
6	Oklahoma State	Penn State	Oklahoma
7	Oklahoma	USC	Iowa State
8	Ole Miss	Texas	Oklahoma State
9	Clemson	Ole Miss	Tennessee
10	Iowa State	Utah	Clemson

Meanwhile the AP has Penn State at #14. PSU already has 2 impressive ROAD wins vs Purdue and Auburn but the media is indifferent to the 41-12 thrashing of Auburn.

If Penn State were an SEC team I think the media would have them ranked #3 right now because the media has Kentucky #8 and Arkansas #10.

[jakethesnake2]

I'm not sure anyone values Auburn and Purdue that highly. Just my 2

[Birdman]

Sept 20, 2022 17:54:23 GMT -5 jakethesnake2 said:

I'm not sure anyone values Auburn and Purdue that highly. Just my 2

Penn State ain’t no top 5. I give them around 10-12. They still need a quality win, because Perdue and an Auburn team having serious problems doesn’t make me believe their a top 5 program at the week 4 mark.

[sportsjock]

James Franklin has Penn State in a place of prominence. Where they fit in the scheme of things is yet to be determined.
To be an Auburn fan, is experiencing the highest of highs (the miracle play to beat Bama) to the lowest of lows that is today's Auburn. The Northwestern of the SEC.

[Vogel]

September 26 AP Poll and Computer Ratings

	AP Poll	Vogel	Sagarin	Massey	ESPN FPI	Avg of 46 Comp Ratings
1	Georgia	Georgia	Alabama	Alabama	Alabama	Georgia
2	Alabama	Alabama	Ohio State	Georgia	Ohio State	Alabama
3	Ohio State	Ohio State	Georgia	Ohio State	Georgia	Ohio State
4	Michigan	Penn State	Oklahoma	Michigan	Michigan	Penn State
5	Clemson	Michigan	Michigan	Penn State	Clemson	Clemson
6	USC	Clemson	Utah	Minnesota	Texas	Michigan
7	Kentucky	Ole Miss	USC	Clemson	LSU	Tennessee
8	Tennessee	USC	LSU	Tennessee	Oklahoma	USC
9	Oklahoma State	Tennessee	Penn State	Oklahoma State	USC	Ole Miss
10	NC State	Oklahoma State	Minnesota	Oklahoma	Utah	Minnesota

Computers pretty much all agree on the Top 3, just in different orders

There are five Top 25 vs Top 25 AP Poll matchups this week
NC State at Clemson
Kentucky at Ole Miss
Alabama at Arkansas
Oklahoma State at Baylor
Wake Forest at Florida State

then we have some more solid matchups with
Michigan at Iowa
Oklahoma at TCU
Texas Tech at Kansas State
Purdue at Minnesota
Oregon State at Utah
Texas A&M at Mississippi State
Washington at UCLA - Friday Night game

Should be a fun weekend with the possibility of a lot of Top 25 teams losing



I'm intrigued with James Madison who just bumped up to the FBS this year and is 3-0 right now.
James Madison went (12-2) last year in the FCS losing in the FCS Semi-Final to North Dakota State
W - 44-7 over 3-1 Middle Tenn (MTSU already beat Miami, FL)
W - 32-28 over 2-2 App State (App St already beat Texas A&M)

James Madison still has to play
Georgia Southern (who beat Nebraska)
Marshall (who beat Notre Dame)
Louisville
Coastal Carolina (who is 4-0 & went 11-2 last year)

[Vogel]

As of October 3, 2022

	AP	Vogel	Sagarin	Massey	ESPN FPI	Avg of 53 Computers
1	Alabama	Alabama	Alabama	Alabama	Alabama	Alabama
2	Georgia	Ohio State	Ohio State	Georgia	Ohio State	Georgia
3	Ohio State	Georgia	Georgia	Ohio State	Georgia	Ohio State
4	Michigan	Ole Miss	Utah	Michigan	Michigan	Clemson
5	Clemson	Michigan	Michigan	Penn State	Clemson	Michigan
6	USC	Clemson	Clemson	Oklahoma State	Texas	Ole Miss
7	Oklahoma State	Penn State	Texas	Clemson	Utah	Penn State
8	Tennessee	TCU	Oklahoma State	Ole Miss	LSU	Tennessee
9	Ole Miss	Tennessee	USC	Tennessee	Ole Miss	TCU
10	Penn State	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma	TCU	Tennessee	Mississippi State

Computer average
#11 USC
#12 Oklahoma State
#20 Texas
#34 James Madison - looking good


Some matchups I'm looking forward to this weekend
Big Ten
(3-2) Purdue at (4-1) Maryland - (Can the Terps get to 5-1)
(3-2) Iowa at (4-1) Illinois - (Can Illinois get to 5-1)
ACC
(4-1) Florida State at (4-1) NC State
Big XII
(4-0) TCU vs (5-0) Kansas
(4-1) K-State at (3-2) Iowa State
(3-2) Texas Tech at (4-0) Oklahoma State
(3-2) Texas vs (3-2) Oklahoma - (Who is falling to 3-3)
Pac 12
(4-1) Utah at (5-0) UCLA
(4-1) Washington State at (5-0) USC
SEC
(3-2) Auburn at (5-0) Georgia
(4-0) Tennessee at (4-1) LSU
(3-2) Texas A&M at (5-0) Alabama
(3-2) Arkansas at (4-1) Mississippi State
Independents
(4-1) BYU vs (2-2) Notre Dame - Game in Las Vegas


Mississippi State normally plays a very weak schedule, goes 8-4 and get trounced in all 4 losses. This year they have a pretty tough schedule
W vs (4-1) Memphis
W vs (3-2) Arizona
L vs (4-1) LSU
W vs (2-3) BGSU
W vs (3-2) Texas A&M
Remaining
(3-2) Arkansas
at (4-1) Kentucky
at (5-0) Alabama
vs (3-2) Auburn
vs (5-0) Georgia
vs (2-3) East Tenn State
at (5-0) Ole Miss

BGSU and East Tenn St were the only 2 automatic wins this year. They played Memphis and Arizona in non-Conf instead of Wagner and Ark St. They cross over with Georgia instead of Vandy. Very Tough schedule.

[sportsjock]

Nice work on this charting, Vogel.
Very interesting and insightful.